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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Calgary Flames

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Flames logo
Flames
Calgary
4
vs
CGY 51%49% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueScotiabank Saddledome
Calgary, AB

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Flames (home)
49%
Win probability
51%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Flames defeated the Utah Hockey Club 4-1.

Our model predicted the Flames would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Flames and was a notable factor: Flames are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club offense (3.2 PPG) outpaces Flames (2.4 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club (33-25) in better form than Flames (24-30)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Flames won 4-1

Flames won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Flames at 51%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
CGY
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Defensive Efficiency
Favours UTA|Favours CGY

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/12/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Anson ThorntonG
Matt VillaltaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Vitek VanecekG
Colten McIntyreG

Flames

Dustin WolfG
Devin CooleyG
Martin PospisilC
Yegor SharangovichC
Ryan StromeC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Flames has a 51% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.

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