Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning
NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Red Wings (away)
Lightning (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Lightning won 4-3
Lightning won in a close game
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Lightning at 56%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
DET
TBL
Home Field Advantage
Favours DET|Favours TBL
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/13/2026, 8:50:00 AM
Key Players
Red Wings
John GibsonG
Michal PostavaG
Cam TalbotG
Michael RasmussenC
Emmitt FinnieC
Lightning
Andrei VasilevskiyG
Harrison MeneghinG
Kyle KoninG
Jonas JohanssonG
Zemgus GirgensonsC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Lightning has a 56% win probability, while Red Wings has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL.