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Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Lightning logo
Lightning
Tampa Bay
4
vs
Red Wings logo
Red Wings
Detroit
3
TBL 77%23% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Red Wings (away)
Lightning (home)
23%
Win probability
77%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Lightning defeated the Red Wings 4-3.

Our model predicted the Lightning would win with 77% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Red Wings

Michal PostavaG
Cam TalbotG
John GibsonG
Daniil TarasovG
Michael RasmussenC

Lightning

Mads SogaardG
Jonas JohanssonG
Kyle KoninG
Harrison MeneghinG
Andrei VasilevskiyG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Lightning has a 77% win probability, while Red Wings has a 23% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL.

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