Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks 69% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Ducks:
- Rest Days. Ducks rest advantage (2 days rest) over Canucks (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage. Ducks are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form. Ducks (35-24) in better form than Canucks (19-36)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the rest edge were neutral: ANA 60% (−9)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: ANA 65% (−4)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: ANA 65% (−4)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: ANA 66% (−3)
Win probability movement
ANA home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Canucks defeated the Ducks 4-3.
Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 69% confidence, but the Canucks won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Ducks and was a major factor: Ducks rest advantage (2 days rest) over Canucks (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Ducks and was a contributing factor: Ducks are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the Ducks and was a contributing factor: Ducks (35-24) in better form than Canucks (19-36)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Canucks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Rest DaysFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Recent FormFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Ducks rest advantage (2 days rest) over Canucks (back-to-back)
1 factor
Key Players
Canucks
Ducks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Ducks has a 69% win probability, while Canucks has a 31% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA.