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Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Stars logo
Stars
Dallas
1
vs
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
6
DAL 56%44% MIN

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Wild (away)
Stars (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Wild defeated the Stars 6-1.

Our model predicted the Stars would win with 56% confidence, but the Wild pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Stars and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Stars (2 days rest) vs Wild (3 days rest)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Wild won 1-6

Wild won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Stars at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
DAL
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours MIN|Favours DAL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/18/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Wild

Chase WutzkeG
Riley MercerG
Filip GustavssonG
Cal PetersenG
Jesper WallstedtG

Stars

Casey DeSmithG
Jake OettingerG
Ben KrawsG
Roope HintzC
Justin HryckowianC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Stars has a 56% win probability, while Wild has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX.

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