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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Oilers logo
Oilers
Edmonton
6
vs
Canucks logo
Canucks
Vancouver
1
EDM 64%36% VAN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueRogers Place
Edmonton, AB

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Canucks (away)
Oilers (home)
36%
Win probability
64%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Oilers defeated the Canucks 6-1.

Our model predicted the Oilers would win with 64% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Oilers offense (3.5 PPG) outpaces Canucks (2.6 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Oilers are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Recent Form favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Oilers (30-25) in better form than Canucks (19-36)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Oilers won 6-1

Oilers won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Oilers at 64%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

VAN
EDM
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Rest Days
Defensive Efficiency
Favours VAN|Favours EDM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/16/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Canucks

Nikita TolopiloG
Jiri PateraG
Kevin LankinenG
Thatcher DemkoG
Max SassonC

Oilers

Tristan JarryG
Calvin PickardG
Connor IngramG
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC
Colton DachC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Oilers has a 64% win probability, while Canucks has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.

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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers - Apr 17, 2026 - NHL | PlayDecoded