Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Avalanche defeated the Flames 3-1.
Our model predicted the Flames would win with 53% confidence, but the Avalanche pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Flames and was a major factor: Flames rest advantage (2 days rest) over Avalanche (back-to-back)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Avalanche offense (3.8 PPG) outpaces Flames (2.4 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flames and was a notable factor: Flames are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Avalanche won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Flames rest advantage (2 days rest) over Avalanche (back-to-back)
1 factor
Key Players
Avalanche
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 53% win probability, while Avalanche has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.