Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Lions defeated the Bears 19-16.
Our model predicted the Lions would win with 57% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Recent Form favored the Lions and was a contributing factor: Detroit Lions (12-6) in better form than Chicago Bears (8-10)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Bears and was a contributing factor: Chicago Bears are 8-4 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Rest Days favored the Lions and was a notable factor: Detroit Lions has rest advantage (9 days) over Chicago Bears (6 days)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Lions won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Bears has a 43% win probability, while Lions has a 57% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL.