Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Vikings defeated the Packers 16-3.
Our model predicted the Vikings would win with 60% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Vikings and was a notable factor: Minnesota Vikings are 4-1 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Rest Days favored the Vikings and was a contributing factor: Minnesota Vikings has rest advantage (9 days) over Green Bay Packers (7 days)
- Recent Form favored the Vikings and was a contributing factor: Minnesota Vikings (11-7) in better form than Green Bay Packers (9-9)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Vikings won comfortably
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Vikings has a 60% win probability, while Packers has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.