Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints
Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints head-to-head
New Orleans Saints 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Saints:
- Home Field Advantage. Saints are 0-3 at home this season; Browns are 1-2 on the road
- ELO Rating. Saints ELO 1461 vs Browns ELO 1422 (diff: +39)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NO 53% (−2)
- If the rating edge were neutral: NO 53% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Browns at Saints
The Browns visit the Saints at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA in NFL regular season Week 9 action.
Our model gives the Saints a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Browns to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Saints (low): Saints are 0-3 at home this season; Browns are 1-2 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Saints (low): Saints ELO 1461 vs Browns ELO 1422 (diff: +39)
- Weather Impact is neutral: Weather data not available
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New Orleans Saints
- ELO RatingFavors New Orleans Saints
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Browns
Saints
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New Orleans Saints
Cleveland Browns
- Previous game57%BAL win probability
- Next game53%CLE win probability
Other Week 9 games
- 59%JAX win probability
- 53%CIN win probability
- 64%KC win probability
- 62%PHI win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Saints has a 55% win probability, while Browns has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA.