Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks head-to-head
Seattle Seahawks 64% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Seahawks:
- ELO Rating. Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Cardinals ELO 1412 (diff: +249)
- Home Field Advantage. Seahawks are 2-1 at home this season; Cardinals are 2-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: SEA 55% (−9)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SEA 61% (−3)
Win probability movement
SEA home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Cardinals at Seahawks
The Cardinals visit the Seahawks at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA in NFL regular season Week 9 action.
Our model gives the Seahawks a 64% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Cardinals to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Seahawks (high): Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Cardinals ELO 1412 (diff: +249)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Seahawks (medium): Seahawks are 2-1 at home this season; Cardinals are 2-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Seahawks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Seahawks
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
ELO Rating
Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Cardinals ELO 1412 (diff: +249)
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.
Key Players
Cardinals
Seahawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Seattle Seahawks
- Previous game60%DEN win probability
- Next game54%SEA win probability
Arizona Cardinals
- Previous game73%LAR win probability
- Next game53%LAR win probability
Other Week 9 games
- 59%JAX win probability
- 53%CIN win probability
- 64%KC win probability
- 62%PHI win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Seahawks has a 64% win probability, while Cardinals has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA.