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New York Knicks at Memphis Grizzlies

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Grizzlies logo
Grizzlies
Memphis
119
vs
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
130
MEM 27%74% NYK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueFedExForum
Memphis, TN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Knicks (away)
Grizzlies (home)
74%
Win probability
27%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Knicks defeated the Grizzlies 130-119.

Our model predicted the Knicks would win with 74% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks defense (110.3 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Knicks and was a notable factor: Knicks (46-25) in better form than Grizzlies (24-46)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Grizzlies and was a notable factor: Grizzlies are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Knicks won 119-130

Knicks won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Knicks at 74%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYK
MEM
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Rest Days
Favours NYK|Favours MEM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Grizzlies

Our Model27%

Knicks

Our Model74%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Knicks defense (110.3 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)

Knicks

Recent Form

Knicks (46-25) in better form than Grizzlies (24-46)

Knicks

Offensive Efficiency

Knicks offense (116.8 PPG) outpaces Grizzlies (115.7 PPG)

Knicks

Turnover Differential

Grizzlies turnover differential (+0) vs Knicks (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/1/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Knicks

Jose AlvaradoG
Jordan ClarksonG
Miles McBrideG
Kevin McCullar Jr.G
Landry ShametG

Grizzlies

Kentavious Caldwell-PopeG
Adama BalG
Walter Clayton Jr.G
Ty JeromeG
Jahmai MashackG

Frequently Asked Questions

Grizzlies has a 27% win probability, while Knicks has a 74% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.

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