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NBA2026-27 season

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Wed, Oct 21, 2026

Magic logo
ORL
Orlando Magic
125
vs
Hawks logo
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
132
ORL 42%58% ATL
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
1
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Atlanta Hawks
  • Defensive Efficiency — Hawks defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Nets (110.0 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Hawks offense (130.0 PPG) outpaces Nets (103.0 PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Hawks ELO 1596 vs Nets ELO 1409 (diff: +187)
Orlando Magic
  • Offensive Efficiency — Magic offense (109.0 PPG) outpaces Warriors (106.5 PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Warriors ELO 1473 vs Magic ELO 1517 (diff: -44)

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