Boston Celtics at Miami Heat
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Celtics defeated the Heat 147-129.
Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 99% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Model vs. Market
Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Heat
Celtics
Odds by Sportsbook
| Source | Heat | Celtics | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +164 | -198 | +5.5 | 228.5 |
| FanDuel | +1800 | -10000 | +20.5 | 252.5 |
Key Players
Celtics
Heat
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Heat has a 1% win probability, while Celtics has a 99% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL.