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Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Magic logo
Magic
Orlando
101
vs
Hawks logo
Hawks
Atlanta
130
ORL 56%44% ATL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Make Your Prediction

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VenueKia Center
Orlando, FL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Hawks (away)
Magic (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hawks defeated the Magic 130-101.

Our model predicted the Magic would win with 56% confidence, but the Hawks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Hawks and was a notable factor: Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Magic (115.5 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Magic and was a notable factor: Magic defense (114.3 Opp PPG) better than Hawks (116.5 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Magic and was a notable factor: Magic are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hawks won 101-130

Hawks won in a blowout

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Magic at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ATL
ORL
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours ATL|Favours ORL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Magic

Our Model56%

Hawks

Our Model44%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/1/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Hawks

Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
Dyson DanielsG
RayJ DennisG
Buddy HieldG
CJ McCollumG

Magic

Alex MoralesG
Jase RichardsonG
Anthony BlackG
Jett HowardG
Desmond BaneG

Frequently Asked Questions

Magic has a 56% win probability, while Hawks has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Kia Center in Orlando, FL.

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