Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Hawks defeated the Celtics 112-102.
Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 56% confidence, but the Hawks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Hawks (116.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Hawks and was a notable factor: Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Hawks and was a notable factor: Hawks are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Hawks won comfortably
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Hawks (116.5 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)
Recent Form
Celtics (47-23) in better form than Hawks (39-32)
Turnover Differential
Hawks turnover differential (+0) vs Celtics (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Celtics
Hawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Hawks has a 44% win probability, while Celtics has a 56% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA.