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Sacramento Kings at Atlanta Hawks

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Hawks logo
Hawks
Atlanta
123
vs
Kings logo
Kings
Sacramento
113
ATL 89%11% SAC
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueState Farm Arena
Atlanta, GA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Kings (away)
Hawks (home)
11%
Win probability
89%
0
High-impact factors
2
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hawks defeated the Kings 123-113.

Our model predicted the Hawks would win with 89% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Hawks and was a major factor: Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.8 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Hawks and was a major factor: Hawks defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Hawks and was a notable factor: Hawks (39-32) in better form than Kings (18-53)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hawks won 123-113

Hawks won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Hawks at 89%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SAC
ATL
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours SAC|Favours ATL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.8 PPG)

Hawks

Defensive Efficiency

Hawks defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)

Hawks

Recent Form

Hawks (39-32) in better form than Kings (18-53)

Hawks

Turnover Differential

Hawks turnover differential (+0) vs Kings (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/28/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Kings

Daeqwon PlowdenG
Patrick Baldwin Jr.G
Devin CarterG
Nique CliffordG
DeMar DeRozanG

Hawks

Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
Dyson DanielsG
RayJ DennisG
Buddy HieldG
CJ McCollumG

Frequently Asked Questions

Hawks has a 89% win probability, while Kings has a 11% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA.

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