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San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Bucks logo
Bucks
Milwaukee
95
vs
Spurs logo
Spurs
San Antonio
127
MIL 16%84% SAS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueFiserv Forum
Milwaukee, WI

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Spurs (away)
Bucks (home)
84%
Win probability
16%
2
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Spurs defeated the Bucks 127-95.

Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 84% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Bucks (111.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (116.2 Opp PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Bucks (29-41)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Spurs won 95-127

Spurs won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Spurs at 84%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SAS
MIL
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours SAS|Favours MIL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Bucks (111.0 PPG)

Spurs

Defensive Efficiency

Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (116.2 Opp PPG)

Spurs

Recent Form

Spurs (53-18) in better form than Bucks (29-41)

Spurs

Turnover Differential

Bucks turnover differential (+0) vs Spurs (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/28/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Spurs

Stephon CastleG
Devin VassellG
Dylan HarperG
Jordan McLaughlinG
De'Aaron FoxG

Bucks

Gary Trent Jr.G
AJ GreenG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Gary HarrisG
Andre Jackson Jr.G

Frequently Asked Questions

Bucks has a 16% win probability, while Spurs has a 84% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI.

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