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Chicago Bulls at Memphis Grizzlies

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Grizzlies logo
Grizzlies
Memphis
125
vs
Bulls logo
Bulls
Chicago
124
MEM 61%39% CHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueFedExForum
Memphis, TN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Bulls (away)
Grizzlies (home)
39%
Win probability
61%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Grizzlies defeated the Bulls 125-124.

Our model predicted the Grizzlies would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Grizzlies and was a contributing factor: Grizzlies defense (118.7 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (120.2 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Grizzlies and was a notable factor: Grizzlies are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar offensive efficiency (115.7 vs 115.8 PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Grizzlies won 125-124

Grizzlies won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Grizzlies at 61%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHI
MEM
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours CHI|Favours MEM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/28/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Bulls

Yuki KawamuraG
Mac McClungG
Josh GiddeyG
Rob DillinghamG
Anfernee SimonsG

Grizzlies

Kentavious Caldwell-PopeG
Adama BalG
Walter Clayton Jr.G
Ty JeromeG
Jahmai MashackG

Frequently Asked Questions

Grizzlies has a 61% win probability, while Bulls has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.

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