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San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Grizzlies logo
Grizzlies
Memphis
98
vs
Spurs logo
Spurs
San Antonio
123
MEM 19%81% SAS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueFedExForum
Memphis, TN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Spurs (away)
Grizzlies (home)
81%
Win probability
19%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Spurs defeated the Grizzlies 123-98.

Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 81% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Grizzlies (115.7 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Grizzlies (24-46)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Spurs won 98-123

Spurs won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Spurs at 81%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SAS
MEM
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours SAS|Favours MEM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)

Spurs

Offensive Efficiency

Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Grizzlies (115.7 PPG)

Spurs

Recent Form

Spurs (53-18) in better form than Grizzlies (24-46)

Spurs

Turnover Differential

Grizzlies turnover differential (+0) vs Spurs (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/25/2026, 8:30:04 AM

Key Players

Spurs

De'Aaron FoxG
Devin VassellG
Jordan McLaughlinG
Dylan HarperG
Stephon CastleG

Grizzlies

Walter Clayton Jr.G
Scotty Pippen Jr.G
Adama BalG
Rayan RupertG
Javon SmallG

Frequently Asked Questions

Grizzlies has a 19% win probability, while Spurs has a 81% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.

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