Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers 73% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:
- Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (116.1 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (120.2 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form. 76ers (39-32) in better form than Bulls (28-42)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 59% (−14)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 68% (−5)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: PHI 68% (−5)
- If the rest edge were neutral: PHI 69% (−4)
Win probability movement
PHI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The 76ers defeated the Bulls 157-137.
Our model predicted the 76ers would win with 73% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a major factor: 76ers defense (116.1 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (120.2 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers (39-32) in better form than Bulls (28-42)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
76ers won convincingly
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Recent FormFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
76ers defense (116.1 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (120.2 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
76ers (39-32) in better form than Bulls (28-42)
Offensive Efficiency
Similar offensive efficiency (115.6 vs 115.8 PPG)
Turnover Differential
76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Bulls (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Bulls
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 73% win probability, while Bulls has a 27% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.