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Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Hawks logo
Hawks
Atlanta
146
vs
Grizzlies logo
Grizzlies
Memphis
107
ATL 74%26% MEM
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueState Farm Arena
Atlanta, GA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Grizzlies (away)
Hawks (home)
26%
Win probability
74%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hawks defeated the Grizzlies 146-107.

Our model predicted the Hawks would win with 74% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Hawks and was a notable factor: Hawks defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Hawks and was a notable factor: Hawks offense (117.7 PPG) outpaces Grizzlies (115.7 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hawks and was a notable factor: Hawks are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hawks won 146-107

Hawks won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Hawks at 74%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MEM
ATL
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours MEM|Favours ATL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/23/2026, 8:30:04 AM

Key Players

Grizzlies

Kentavious Caldwell-PopeG
Adama BalG
Walter Clayton Jr.G
Ty JeromeG
Jahmai MashackG

Hawks

Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
Dyson DanielsG
RayJ DennisG
Buddy HieldG
CJ McCollumG

Frequently Asked Questions

Hawks has a 74% win probability, while Grizzlies has a 26% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA.

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