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Los Angeles Lakers at Indiana Pacers

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Pacers logo
Pacers
Indiana
130
vs
Lakers logo
Lakers
Los Angeles
137
IND 15%85% LAL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGainbridge Fieldhouse
Indianapolis, IN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Lakers (away)
Pacers (home)
85%
Win probability
15%
2
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Lakers defeated the Pacers 137-130.

Our model predicted the Lakers would win with 85% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Lakers and was a major factor: Lakers defense (114.9 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.4 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Lakers and was a major factor: Lakers offense (116.6 PPG) outpaces Pacers (111.3 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Lakers and was a notable factor: Lakers (46-25) in better form than Pacers (15-56)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Lakers won 130-137

Lakers won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Lakers at 85%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAL
IND
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours LAL|Favours IND

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Lakers defense (114.9 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.4 Opp PPG)

Lakers

Offensive Efficiency

Lakers offense (116.6 PPG) outpaces Pacers (111.3 PPG)

Lakers

Recent Form

Lakers (46-25) in better form than Pacers (15-56)

Lakers

Turnover Differential

Pacers turnover differential (+0) vs Lakers (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/25/2026, 8:30:04 AM

Key Players

Lakers

Austin ReavesG
Marcus SmartG
Nick Smith Jr.G
Bronny JamesG
Luke KennardG

Pacers

Ben SheppardG
Johnny FurphyG
Tyrese HaliburtonG
Kobe BrownG
Quenton JacksonG

Frequently Asked Questions

Pacers has a 15% win probability, while Lakers has a 85% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN.

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