Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Suns defeated the Grizzlies 131-105.
Our model predicted the Suns would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Suns and was a major factor: Suns defense (111.2 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Grizzlies and was a notable factor: Grizzlies offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.2 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Grizzlies and was a notable factor: Grizzlies are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Suns won in a blowout
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Suns defense (111.2 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.7 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Grizzlies offense (115.7 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.2 PPG)
Recent Form
Suns (39-32) in better form than Grizzlies (24-46)
Turnover Differential
Grizzlies turnover differential (+0) vs Suns (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Suns
Grizzlies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Grizzlies has a 45% win probability, while Suns has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.