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Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Hornets logo
Hornets
Charlotte
99
vs
Celtics logo
Celtics
Boston
114
CHA 41%59% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSpectrum Center
Charlotte, NC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Celtics (away)
Hornets (home)
59%
Win probability
41%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Celtics defeated the Hornets 114-99.

Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (112.1 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Hornets and was a contributing factor: Hornets offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hornets and was a notable factor: Hornets are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Celtics won 99-114

Celtics won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Celtics at 59%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BOS
CHA
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours BOS|Favours CHA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (112.1 Opp PPG)

Celtics

Offensive Efficiency

Hornets offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)

Hornets

Recent Form

Celtics (47-23) in better form than Hornets (37-34)

Celtics

Turnover Differential

Hornets turnover differential (+0) vs Celtics (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/29/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Celtics

Hugo GonzalezG
Jordan WalshG
Derrick WhiteG
Baylor ScheiermanG
Jaylen BrownG

Hornets

LaMelo BallG
Pat ConnaughtonG
Josh GreenG
Sion JamesG
Kon KnueppelG

Frequently Asked Questions

Hornets has a 41% win probability, while Celtics has a 59% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC.

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