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Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers

MLBregular โ€ข 2026-2027 Season
completed
Tigers logo
Tigers
Detroit
14
vs
Orioles logo
Orioles
Baltimore
0
DET 55%45% BAL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Detroit Tigers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Tigers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueComerica Park
Detroit, Michigan

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Orioles (away)
Tigers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Tigers defeated the Orioles 14-0.

Our model predicted the Tigers would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Tigers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Tigers (1 day rest) vs Orioles (1 day rest)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Tigers won 14-0

Tigers won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Tigers at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Tigers
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BAL
DET
Home Field Advantage
Favours BAL|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 7/28/2026, 10:30:05 PM

Key Players

Orioles

Shane BazSP
Trevor RogersSP
Chris BassittSP
Trey GibsonSP
Kyle BradishSP

Tigers

Framber ValdezSP
Troy MeltonSP
Casey MizeSP
Justin VerlanderSP
Keider MonteroSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Tigers has a 55% win probability, while Orioles has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan.

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