MLB2026 season
Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CLE at CINWed, Jul 29, 2026CIN 54%CLE 6–1
- CLE at CINTue, Jul 28, 2026CIN 54%CIN 0–2
- CLE at CINTue, Jul 28, 2026CIN 52%CLE 6–5
- CIN at CLESun, May 17, 2026CLE 56%CLE 3–10
- CIN at CLESat, May 16, 2026CLE 56%CLE 4–7
- CIN at CLEFri, May 15, 2026CLE 57%CIN 7–6
- CIN at CLESun, Mar 22, 2026CLE 55%CLE 2–8
- CLE at CINTue, Mar 17, 2026CIN 55%CLE 8–6
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
50%
4 of 8 decided games
Meetings graded
8
2026
Correct calls
4
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Cincinnati Reds
- Injuries — Reds healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Blue Jays (14 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Reds offense (4.1 R/G) outpaces Blue Jays (4.0 R/G)
Cleveland Guardians
No recent factors yet.
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