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Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Guardians logo
Guardians
Cleveland
7
vs
Reds logo
Reds
Cincinnati
4
CLE 56%44% CIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueProgressive Field
Cleveland, Ohio

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Reds (away)
Guardians (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Guardians defeated the Reds 7-4.

Our model predicted the Guardians would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Guardians and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Guardians won 7-4

Guardians won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Guardians at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CIN
CLE
Home Field Advantage
Favours CIN|Favours CLE

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/16/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Reds

Andrew AbbottSP
Chase BurnsSP
Nick LodoloSP
Chris PaddackSP
Brady SingerSP

Guardians

Gavin WilliamsSP
Joey CantilloSP
Tanner BibeeSP
Parker MessickSP
Slade CecconiSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Guardians has a 56% win probability, while Reds has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio.

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