Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Reds (away)
Guardians (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Reds won 6-7
Reds won in a close game
Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Guardians at 57%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
CIN
CLE
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours CIN|Favours CLE
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/15/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Reds
Andrew AbbottSP
Chase BurnsSP
Nick LodoloSP
Chris PaddackSP
Brady SingerSP
Guardians
Gavin WilliamsSP
Joey CantilloSP
Tanner BibeeSP
Parker MessickSP
Slade CecconiSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Guardians has a 57% win probability, while Reds has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio.