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Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers

MLBregular โ€ข 2026-2027 Season
completed
Dodgers logo
Dodgers
Los Angeles
3
vs
Diamondbacks logo
Diamondbacks
Arizona
5
LAD 55%45% ARI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Los Angeles Dodgers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Dodgers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueDodger Stadium
Los Angeles, California

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Diamondbacks (away)
Dodgers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Diamondbacks defeated the Dodgers 5-3.

Our model predicted the Dodgers would win with 55% confidence, but the Diamondbacks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Dodgers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Diamondbacks won 3-5

Diamondbacks won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Dodgers at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ARI
LAD
Home Field Advantage
Favours ARI|Favours LAD

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 7/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Key Players

Diamondbacks

Zac GallenSP
Ryne NelsonSP
Jose CabreraSP
Kohl DrakeSP
Merrill KellySP

Dodgers

No player data available

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Dodgers has a 55% win probability, while Diamondbacks has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California.

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