PlayDecoded
Menu

Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Blues logo
Blues
St. Louis
5
vs
Maple Leafs logo
Maple Leafs
Toronto
1
STL 52%48% TOR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueEnterprise Center
St. Louis, MO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Maple Leafs (away)
Blues (home)
48%
Win probability
52%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blues defeated the Maple Leafs 5-1.

Our model predicted the Blues would win with 52% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blues and was a notable factor: Blues are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Maple Leafs and was a contributing factor: Maple Leafs offense (3.2 PPG) outpaces Blues (2.6 PPG)
  • Rest Days favored the Maple Leafs and was a contributing factor: Maple Leafs rest advantage (2 days rest) over Blues (1 day rest)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blues won 5-1

Blues won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blues at 52%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TOR
STL
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Rest Days
Recent Form
Defensive Efficiency
Favours TOR|Favours STL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/28/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Key Players

Maple Leafs

Anthony StolarzG
Joseph WollG
Max DomiC
Steven LorentzC
Auston MatthewsC

Blues

Jordan BinningtonG
Joel HoferG
Georgi RomanovG
Robert ThomasC
Jack FinleyC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blues has a 52% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO.

View all NHL games