San Jose Sharks at Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus Blue Jackets 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Blue Jackets:
- Home Field Advantage. Blue Jackets are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency. Blue Jackets defense (3.1 Opp PPG) better than Sharks (3.5 Opp PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CBJ 53% (−5)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: CBJ 56% (−2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: CBJ 57% (−1)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: CBJ 57% (−1)
Win probability movement
CBJ home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Sharks defeated the Blue Jackets 3-2.
Our model predicted the Blue Jackets would win with 58% confidence, but the Sharks won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blue Jackets and was a notable factor: Blue Jackets are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Blue Jackets and was a contributing factor: Blue Jackets defense (3.1 Opp PPG) better than Sharks (3.5 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar form: Blue Jackets (32-21) vs Sharks (30-25)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Sharks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Recent FormNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Sharks
Blue Jackets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blue Jackets has a 58% win probability, while Sharks has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH.