Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Broncos defeated the Chargers 19-3.
Our model predicted the Broncos would win with 64% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Broncos and was a notable factor: Denver Broncos are 3-3 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Broncos and was a contributing factor: Denver Broncos defense (4.8 YPP allowed) is stronger than Los Angeles Chargers (5.1 YPP allowed)
- Rest Days favored the Broncos and was a contributing factor: Denver Broncos has rest advantage (9 days) over Los Angeles Chargers (7 days)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Broncos won convincingly
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Broncos has a 64% win probability, while Chargers has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO.