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Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals

NFLWeek 16 • regular • 2025
Final
Cardinals logo
Cardinals
Arizona
19
vs
Falcons logo
Falcons
Atlanta
26
ARI 54%46% ATL
Prediction Confidence:
High

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VenueState Farm Stadium
Glendale, AZ

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Falcons (away)
Cardinals (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Falcons defeated the Cardinals 26-19.

Our model predicted the Cardinals would win with 54% confidence, but the Falcons pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Cardinals and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Rest Days favored the Falcons and was a contributing factor: Atlanta Falcons has rest advantage (9 days) over Arizona Cardinals (7 days)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Cardinals54%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors ARI

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ATL
ARI
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours ATL|Favours ARI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:28 PM

Frequently Asked Questions

Cardinals has a 54% win probability, while Falcons has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ.

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