PlayDecoded
Menu

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears

NFLWeek 16 • regular • 2025
Final
Bears logo
Bears
Chicago
22
vs
Packers logo
Packers
Green Bay
16
CHI 56%44% GB
Prediction Confidence:
High

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueSoldier Field
Chicago, IL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Packers (away)
Bears (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Bears defeated the Packers 22-16.

Our model predicted the Bears would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Bears and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Bears56%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors CHI

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

GB
CHI
Home Field Advantage
Favours GB|Favours CHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/27/2026, 10:41:20 PM

Frequently Asked Questions

Bears has a 56% win probability, while Packers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL.

View all NFL games