San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Spurs defeated the Warriors 127-113.
Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 74% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a major factor: Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Warriors (114.8 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Warriors (114.7 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Warriors (33-38)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Spurs won convincingly
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Warriors
Spurs
Odds by Sportsbook
| Source | Warriors | Spurs | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +575 | -850 | +12.5 | 227.5 |
| FanDuel | +610 | -900 | +14.5 | 227.5 |
Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Warriors (114.8 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Warriors (114.7 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Spurs (53-18) in better form than Warriors (33-38)
Turnover Differential
Warriors turnover differential (+0) vs Spurs (+0)
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Key Players
Spurs
Warriors
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Warriors has a 26% win probability, while Spurs has a 74% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA.