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Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
Live
Kings logo
Kings
Sacramento
33
vs
Trail Blazers logo
Trail Blazers
Portland
27
SAC 14%86% POR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Portland Trail Blazers 86% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Trail Blazers:

  • Offensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers offense (124.0 PPG) outpaces Kings (96.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers defense (83.0 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)
  • ELO Rating. Kings ELO 1336 vs Trail Blazers ELO 1549 (diff: -213)

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VenueGolden 1 Center
Sacramento, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Trail Blazers (away)
Kings (home)
86%
Win probability
14%
2
High-impact factors
0
3
Players ruled out
3

Game Preview

Trail Blazers at Kings

The Trail Blazers visit the Kings at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the Trail Blazers a 86% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Kings to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Offensive Efficiency favors the Trail Blazers (high): Trail Blazers offense (124.0 PPG) outpaces Kings (96.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favors the Trail Blazers (high): Trail Blazers defense (83.0 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)
  • ELO Rating favors the Trail Blazers (medium): Kings ELO 1336 vs Trail Blazers ELO 1549 (diff: -213)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kings have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Trail Blazers have 3.
Trail Blazers86%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Offensive Efficiency
Favors POR

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
  • ELO RatingFavors Portland Trail Blazers
  • Rest DaysFavors Portland Trail Blazers
  • InjuriesFavors Sacramento Kings
  • Home Field AdvantageNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

POR
SAC
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
ELO Rating
Rest Days
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Favours POR|Favours SAC

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Trail Blazers offense (124.0 PPG) outpaces Kings (96.0 PPG)

Trail Blazers

Defensive Efficiency

Trail Blazers defense (83.0 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)

Trail Blazers

Turnover Differential

Kings turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 1:45:01 AM

Kings

Dylan CardwellC(Calf)
OUT
Maxime RaynaudC(Knee)
OUT
Ben SimmonsG(Achilles)
OUT

Trail Blazers

Branden CarlsonC(Concussion)
OUT
Chris YoungbloodG(Ankle)
OUT
Shaedon SharpeG(Knee)
OUT

Key Players

Trail Blazers

Scoot HendersonG
Sidy CissokoG
Jrue HolidayG
Jayson KentG
Vit KrejciG

Kings

Adam FlaglerG
Elfrid PaytonG
Ben SimmonsGOUT
-3.4% win prob impact
Zach LaVineG
Tristen NewtonG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Kings has a 14% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 86% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA.

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