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NBA2026-27 season

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Fri, Oct 23, 2026

Pacers logo
IND
Indiana Pacers
105
vs
Mavericks logo
DAL
Dallas Mavericks
121
IND 90%10% DAL
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
0%
0 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Dallas Mavericks
  • Defensive Efficiency — Mavericks defense (116.5 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (121.0 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Mavericks offense (115.5 PPG) outpaces Jazz (111.5 PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Mavericks ELO 1423 vs Jazz ELO 1370 (diff: +53)
Indiana Pacers
  • Offensive Efficiency — Pacers offense (114.0 PPG) outpaces Nuggets (84.0 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage — Pacers are 1-3 at home this season; Nuggets are 2-2 on the road

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