Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards
Toronto Raptors 86% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Raptors:
- Offensive Efficiency. Raptors offense (135.0 PPG) outpaces Wizards (128.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Raptors defense (92.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries. Raptors healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 3 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Raptors defeated the Wizards 112-102.
Our model predicted the Raptors would win with 86% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors offense (135.0 PPG) outpaces Wizards (128.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors defense (92.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Wizards have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Raptors have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Raptors won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Toronto Raptors
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Toronto Raptors
- InjuriesFavors Toronto Raptors
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Washington Wizards
- ELO RatingFavors Toronto Raptors
- Rest DaysFavors Washington Wizards
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Wizards
Raptors
Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Raptors offense (135.0 PPG) outpaces Wizards (128.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Raptors defense (92.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (116.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Wizards turnover differential (+0) vs Raptors (+0)
Injuries
Raptors healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 3 out, 0 doubtful
Home Field Advantage
Wizards are 2-1 at home this season; Raptors are 0-2 on the road
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Wizards
Raptors
Key Players
Raptors
Wizards
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Wizards has a 14% win probability, while Raptors has a 86% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.