Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks 86% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Bucks:
- Defensive Efficiency. Bucks defense (128.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (135.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Bucks offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (92.0 PPG)
- Injuries. Bucks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Bulls 1 out, 0 doubtful
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bulls defeated the Bucks 132-125.
Our model predicted the Bucks would win with 86% confidence, but the Bulls pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Bucks and was a major factor: Bucks defense (128.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (135.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Bucks and was a major factor: Bucks offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (92.0 PPG)
- Injuries favored the Bucks and was a notable factor: Bucks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Bulls 1 out, 0 doubtful
- The Bulls are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bulls won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Milwaukee Bucks
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Milwaukee Bucks
- InjuriesFavors Milwaukee Bucks
- ELO RatingFavors Chicago Bulls
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Milwaukee Bucks
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Bucks
Bulls
Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Bucks defense (128.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (135.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Bucks offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (92.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Bucks turnover differential (+0) vs Bulls (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Bucks
No injuries reported
Bulls
Key Players
Bulls
Bucks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Bucks has a 86% win probability, while Bulls has a 14% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI.