Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors 71% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Raptors:
- Injuries. Raptors healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Bulls 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Raptors are 2-1 at home this season; Bulls are 1-1 on the road
- ELO Rating. Raptors ELO 1518 vs Bulls ELO 1466 (diff: +52)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Raptors defeated the Bulls 135-92.
Our model predicted the Raptors would win with 71% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Bulls 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Raptors and was a notable factor: Raptors are 2-1 at home this season; Bulls are 1-1 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Raptors and was a contributing factor: Raptors ELO 1518 vs Bulls ELO 1466 (diff: +52)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Raptors have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Bulls have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Raptors won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Toronto Raptors
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Toronto Raptors
- ELO RatingFavors Toronto Raptors
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Raptors
Bulls
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Raptors healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Bulls 3 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Raptors
Bulls
Key Players
Bulls
Raptors
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Raptors has a 71% win probability, while Bulls has a 29% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.

