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Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Raptors logo
Raptors
Toronto
135
vs
Bulls logo
Bulls
Chicago
92
TOR 71%29% CHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Toronto Raptors 71% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Raptors:

  • Injuries. Raptors healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Bulls 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Raptors are 2-1 at home this season; Bulls are 1-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Raptors ELO 1518 vs Bulls ELO 1466 (diff: +52)

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VenueScotiabank Arena
Toronto, ON

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Bulls (away)
Raptors (home)
29%
Win probability
71%
0
High-impact factors
1
3
Players ruled out
1

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Raptors defeated the Bulls 135-92.

Our model predicted the Raptors would win with 71% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Bulls 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Raptors and was a notable factor: Raptors are 2-1 at home this season; Bulls are 1-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating favored the Raptors and was a contributing factor: Raptors ELO 1518 vs Bulls ELO 1466 (diff: +52)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Raptors have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Bulls have 3.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Raptors won 135-92

Raptors won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Raptors at 71%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Toronto Raptors
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Toronto Raptors
  • ELO RatingFavors Toronto Raptors
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHI
TOR
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours CHI|Favours TOR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Raptors

Our Model71%

Bulls

Our Model29%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Raptors healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Bulls 3 out, 0 doubtful

Raptors

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/21/2026, 11:15:02 PM

Raptors

Nate BittleC(Foot)
OUT

Bulls

Nic ClaxtonC(Hamstring)
OUT
Dailyn SwainG(Illness)
OUT
Jordan HawkinsG(Illness)
OUT

Key Players

Bulls

Isaiah StevensG
Josh GiddeyG
Buddy HieldG
Tre JonesG
Jordan HawkinsGOUT
-5.7% win prob impact

Raptors

Jamal SheadG
Andre Jackson Jr.G
Malachi SmithG
Chucky HepburnG
Alijah MartinG

Frequently Asked Questions

Raptors has a 71% win probability, while Bulls has a 29% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.

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