NBA2026-27 season
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
0%
0 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Miami Heat
- Injuries — Heat healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency — Heat offense (108.5 PPG) outpaces Warriors (106.5 PPG)
Minnesota Timberwolves
- Defensive Efficiency — Timberwolves defense (99.5 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (121.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency — Timberwolves offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (119.5 PPG)
- ELO Rating — Pelicans ELO 1436 vs Timberwolves ELO 1566 (diff: -130)
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