Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic
Atlanta Hawks 58% to win. The biggest signal favoring Hawks:
- Injuries. Hawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 4 out, 0 doubtful
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Hawks defeated the Magic 132-125.
Our model predicted the Hawks would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Hawks and was a major factor: Hawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Magic and was a contributing factor: Magic are 2-0 at home this season; Hawks are 3-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating was neutral and a contributing factor: Magic ELO 1556 vs Hawks ELO 1554 (diff: +1)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Magic have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Hawks have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Hawks won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Atlanta Hawks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Orlando Magic
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Magic
Hawks
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Hawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Magic
Hawks
Key Players
Hawks
Magic
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Magic has a 42% win probability, while Hawks has a 58% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Kia Center in Orlando, FL.