Minnesota Timberwolves at Orlando Magic
Minnesota Timberwolves 87% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Defensive Efficiency. Timberwolves defense (106.0 Opp PPG) better than Magic (132.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (131.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (125.0 PPG)
- Injuries. Timberwolves healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 4 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Timberwolves defeated the Magic 115-93.
Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 87% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves defense (106.0 Opp PPG) better than Magic (132.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves offense (131.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (125.0 PPG)
- Injuries favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Magic have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Timberwolves have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Timberwolves won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- InjuriesFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Orlando Magic
- Rest DaysFavors Orlando Magic
- ELO RatingNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Magic
Timberwolves
Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Timberwolves defense (106.0 Opp PPG) better than Magic (132.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Timberwolves offense (131.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (125.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Magic turnover differential (+0) vs Timberwolves (+0)
Injuries
Timberwolves healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Magic
Timberwolves
Key Players
Timberwolves
Magic
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Magic has a 13% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 87% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Kia Center in Orlando, FL.