Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Trail Blazers:
- Home Field Advantage. Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home this season; Suns are 0-3 on the road
- ELO Rating. Trail Blazers ELO 1536 vs Suns ELO 1498 (diff: +38)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Trail Blazers defeated the Suns 124-83.
Our model predicted the Trail Blazers would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Trail Blazers and was a major factor: Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home this season; Suns are 0-3 on the road
- Injuries favored the Suns and was a notable factor: Suns healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Trail Blazers 3 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Trail Blazers and was a contributing factor: Trail Blazers ELO 1536 vs Suns ELO 1498 (diff: +38)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Trail Blazers have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Suns have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Trail Blazers won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- InjuriesFavors Phoenix Suns
- ELO RatingFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Trail Blazers are 1-0 at home this season; Suns are 0-3 on the road
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Trail Blazers
Suns
Key Players
Suns
Trail Blazers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Trail Blazers has a 56% win probability, while Suns has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Moda Center in Portland, OR.