Charlotte Hornets at Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets head-to-head
Boston Celtics 71% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Celtics:
- Defensive Efficiency. Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (112.1 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Celtics are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form. Celtics (47-23) in better form than Hornets (37-34)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: BOS 53% (−18)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: BOS 72% (+1)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: BOS 65% (−6)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: BOS 66% (−5)
Win probability movement
BOS home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Celtics defeated the Hornets 113-102.
Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 71% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (112.1 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Hornets and was a contributing factor: Hornets offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Celtics and was a notable factor: Celtics are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Celtics won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Boston Celtics
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Charlotte Hornets
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Boston Celtics
- Recent FormFavors Boston Celtics
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (112.1 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Hornets offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.4 PPG)
Recent Form
Celtics (47-23) in better form than Hornets (37-34)
Turnover Differential
Celtics turnover differential (+0) vs Hornets (+0)
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Key Players
Hornets
Celtics
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Boston Celtics
- Previous game76%BOS win probability
- Next game54%NYK win probability
Charlotte Hornets
- Previous game56%MIN win probability
- Next game62%DET win probability
Other games on Apr 8, 2026
- 72%NOP win probability
- 88%GSW win probability
- 76%OKC win probability
- 77%LAC win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Celtics has a 71% win probability, while Hornets has a 29% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at TD Garden in Boston, MA.