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Charlotte Hornets at Minnesota Timberwolves

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Timberwolves logo
Timberwolves
Minnesota
108
vs
Hornets logo
Hornets
Charlotte
122
MIN 56%44% CHA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Make Your Prediction

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VenueTarget Center
Minneapolis, MN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Hornets (away)
Timberwolves (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hornets defeated the Timberwolves 122-108.

Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 56% confidence, but the Hornets pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Hornets and was a notable factor: Hornets defense (112.1 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (114.8 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Hornets (116.0 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hornets won 108-122

Hornets won convincingly

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Timberwolves at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHA
MIN
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours CHA|Favours MIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Timberwolves

Our Model56%

Hornets

Our Model44%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/5/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Key Players

Hornets

Kon KnueppelG
Tre MannG
Liam McNeeleyG
Josh GreenG
LaMelo BallG

Timberwolves

Zyon PullinG
Jaylen ClarkG
Mike ConleyG
Donte DiVincenzoG
Ayo DosunmuG

Frequently Asked Questions

Timberwolves has a 56% win probability, while Hornets has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.

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