Minnesota Timberwolves at Philadelphia 76ers
Minnesota Timberwolves 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces 76ers (115.6 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Timberwolves defense (114.8 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.1 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form. Timberwolves (43-28) in better form than 76ers (39-32)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 49% (−12)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 54% (−7)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 61% (0)
- If the rest edge were neutral: MIN 60% (−1)
Win probability movement
PHI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The 76ers defeated the Timberwolves 115-103.
Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 61% confidence, but the 76ers won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces 76ers (115.6 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a contributing factor: Timberwolves defense (114.8 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (116.1 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the 76ers and was a contributing factor: 76ers are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
76ers won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Recent FormFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
76ers
Timberwolves
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Timberwolves
76ers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
76ers has a 39% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 61% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.