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Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Pelicans logo
Pelicans
New Orleans
156
vs
Jazz logo
Jazz
Utah
137
NOP 72%28% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSmoothie King Center
New Orleans, LA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jazz (away)
Pelicans (home)
28%
Win probability
72%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Pelicans defeated the Jazz 156-137.

Our model predicted the Pelicans would win with 72% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Pelicans and was a major factor: Pelicans defense (119.2 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.8 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Jazz and was a contributing factor: Jazz offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (115.6 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Pelicans and was a notable factor: Pelicans are 0-0 at home this season

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Pelicans won 156-137

Pelicans won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Pelicans at 72%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
NOP
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours UTA|Favours NOP

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Pelicans defense (119.2 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.8 Opp PPG)

Pelicans

Offensive Efficiency

Jazz offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (115.6 PPG)

Jazz

Recent Form

Pelicans (25-47) in better form than Jazz (21-50)

Pelicans

Turnover Differential

Pelicans turnover differential (+0) vs Jazz (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/7/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Key Players

Jazz

Ace BaileyG
Isaiah CollierG
Keyonte GeorgeG
Hayden GrayG
Elijah HarklessG

Pelicans

Jordan HawkinsG
Trey AlexanderG
Saddiq BeyG
Jeremiah FearsG
Jordan PooleG

Frequently Asked Questions

Pelicans has a 72% win probability, while Jazz has a 28% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA.

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