PlayDecoded
Menu
NBA2026-27 season

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Wed, Oct 7, 2026

Pacers logo
IND
Indiana Pacers
123
vs
Timberwolves logo
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
112
IND 43%57% MIN
Open the game page

This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

No 2026-27 meetings yet.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Indiana Pacers
  • Offensive Efficiency — Pacers offense (114.0 PPG) outpaces Nuggets (84.0 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage — Pacers are 1-3 at home this season; Nuggets are 2-2 on the road
Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Defensive Efficiency — Timberwolves defense (99.5 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (121.5 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency — Timberwolves offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (119.5 PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Pelicans ELO 1436 vs Timberwolves ELO 1566 (diff: -130)

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.