Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers

NBApreseason • 2027-2028 Season

Scheduled

Pacers

Indiana

Timberwolves

Minnesota

IND 44%56% MIN

Prediction Confidence:

Moderate

Minnesota Timberwolves 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Timberwolves:

Injuries. Timberwolves healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 1 out, 0 doubtful
ELO Rating. Pacers ELO 1438 vs Timberwolves ELO 1518 (diff: -80); both ratings carried over from last season

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VenueHilton Coliseum

Ames, IA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Timberwolves (away)

Pacers (home)

56%

Win probability

44%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

Game Preview

Timberwolves at Pacers

The Timberwolves visit the Pacers at Hilton Coliseum in Ames, IA in 2027-2028 NBA preseason play.

Our model gives the Timberwolves a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Pacers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

Injuries favors the Timberwolves (medium): Timberwolves healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 1 out, 0 doubtful
Home Field Advantage favors the Pacers (medium): Standard home-field edge for Pacers (no home or road games yet this season)
ELO Rating favors the Timberwolves (low): Pacers ELO 1438 vs Timberwolves ELO 1518 (diff: -80); both ratings carried over from last season
The Pacers are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

Timberwolves56%

is favored to win

Key Factor

Injuries

Favors MIN

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

InjuriesFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
Home Field AdvantageFavors Indiana Pacers
ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
Turnover DifferentialNeutral

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN

IND

Injuries

Home Field Advantage

ELO Rating

Favours MIN|Favours IND

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Low impactHow team performanceworks →

3 factors

Offensive Efficiency

Offensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

Defensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Turnover Differential

Pacers turnover differential (+0) vs Timberwolves (+0)

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Medium impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Timberwolves healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 1 out, 0 doubtful

Timberwolves

Home & Venue

Medium impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Standard home-field edge for Pacers (no home or road games yet this season)

Pacers

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

Other

Low impact

1 factor

ELO Rating

Pacers ELO 1438 vs Timberwolves ELO 1518 (diff: -80); both ratings carried over from last season

Timberwolves

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Injury Report

Pacers

Larry Nance Jr.F(Hamstring)

QUESTIONABLE

Johnny FurphyG(Knee)

OUT

Quenton JacksonG(Undisclosed)

QUESTIONABLE

T.J. McConnellG(Undisclosed)

QUESTIONABLE

Timberwolves

No injuries reported

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Pacers has a 44% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 56% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Hilton Coliseum in Ames, IA.

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